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ACT Research: Commercial Vehicle Markets Heading for a Market Correction in 2020

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Oct 3, 2019 7:00:00 AM

In the release of its Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest, ACT Research noted that the heavy truck and trailer markets, and increasingly the medium duty market, are heading for corrections in 2020, even as the slow growth US economic outlook remains largely unchanged, aside from concerns about trade and tariffs. The key driver of the near to mid-term outlook is the US consumer, who remains well positioned to keep the economy out of the ditch.

The report, which combines ACT’s proprietary data analysis from a wide variety of industry sources, paints a comprehensive picture of trends impacting transportation and commercial vehicle markets. This monthly report includes a relevant but high-level forecast summary, complete with transportation insights for use by commercial vehicle dealer executives, reviewing top-level considerations such as for-hire indices, freight, heavy and medium duty segments, the total US trailer market, used truck sales information, and a review of the US macro economy.

animation (58)ACT Seminar_92“Expectations for the Class 8 and trailer markets anticipate a pullback in build rates, as market conditions continue to deteriorate, and data that support this forecast continues to mount,” said Kenny Vieth, ACT’s President and Senior Analyst. He continued, “While less cliff-like, medium duty market indicators also support a modest correction into 2020.”

Vieth added, “The key risk to all vehicle market forecasts remains the ongoing trade war with China, with US manufacturers and farmers struggling to compete on a tilted global playing field and the freight-generating sectors of the economy taking collateral damage.”

ACT Research is recognized as the leading publisher of commercial vehicle truck, trailer, and bus industry data, market analysis and forecasts for the North America and China markets. ACT’s analytical services are used by all major North American truck and trailer manufacturers and their suppliers, as well as banking and investment companies. ACT Research is a contributor to the Blue Chip Economic Indicators and a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel. ACT Research executives have received peer recognition, including election to the Board of Directors of the National Association for Business Economics, appointment as Consulting Economist to the National Private Truck Council, and the Lawrence R. Klein Award for Blue Chip Economic Indicators’ Most Accurate Economic Forecast over a four-year period. ACT Research senior staff members have earned accolades including Chicago Federal Reserve Automotive Outlook Symposium Best Overall Forecast, Wall Street Journal Top Economic Outlook, and USA Today Top 10 Economic Forecasters. More information can be found at www.actresearch.net.

ACT’s 62nd seminar is scheduled for February 11-13, 2020, and will feature trucker, electrification, and economic panels, as well as discussions on near-term demand of North American commercial vehicle markets and the pending impact of electrification on the market in the near future. A commercial vehicle database workshop is also being planned in conjunction with this semi-annual event. Click here for seminar information.

CV Dealer Digest 10.02.19

Click below to: 

Access more information about ACT’s Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest.

Access information about other ACT Research publications and services.

See August's Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest Press Release 

Access In the News Page 

Topics: freight, transportation, logistics, Press Releases, trucking, commercial freight shipping, HeavyDuty, Economics

About ACT Research

We're the leading publisher of commercial vehicle industry data, market analysis, and economic forecasting services for the North American market.

 

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