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ACT Research: Economy Strong, but Moderating; Trade an Obvious Factor to Freight Markets

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on May 21, 2019 10:31:45 AM

ACT Seminar_148In the release of its Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest, ACT Research noted that the overall economic picture remains largely unchanged, with growth moderating in 2019 from last year’s vigorous pace. The trade war with China, which had been put on the back burner earlier this year, was put back on high heat at the beginning of this month. The report provides monthly analysis on transportation trends, equipment markets, and the economy.

“While we can hope for a better outcome than overly-heated rhetoric suggests, should the tariffs occur, freight markets, which are already stagnating, will be impacted. The moral of the story is that if goods cost more, fewer goods can be purchased,” said Steve Tam, ACT’s Vice President. He continued, “Aside from trade, however, the overall economic picture remains largely unchanged, with growth moderating in 2019, after growing nearly 3% in 2018.”

Regarding freight, Tam added, “While there is a very low probability, and no expectation, of an economy-wide recession this year, freight-related data points have been sufficiently bad, both in breadth and duration, that a freight recession is not out of the question, and higher tariffs could be what tips the scales.”

ACT Research is recognized as the leading publisher of commercial vehicle truck, trailer, and bus industry data, market analysis and forecasting services for the North American and China markets. ACT’s analytical services are used by all major North American truck and trailer manufacturers and their suppliers, as well as banking and investment companies. More information can be found at

Click here for more information about ACT’s Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest.

Discussion-Dinner-CollageACT’s 61st seminar is scheduled for August 12-14, 2019, and will feature a dealer panel, as well as discussions on near-term demand of North American commercial vehicle markets and the impacts of tomorrow’s technical challenges. A global forecasting workshop is also being planned in conjunction with this semi-annual event. Click here for seminar information.

Topics: CV Dealer Digest, Economy, Press Releases

About ACT Research

We're the leading publisher of industry data, market analysis, and economic forecasting services for the commercial vehicle and transportation industries.

2019 Lawrence R. Klein Award Winner: Most Accurate Economic Forecast 2015-2019

  Partner to LMC Automotive and the Chinese State Information Center

  Contributor to the Blue Chip Financial and Wall Street Journal Consensus Economic Forecast


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