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ACT Research: Supply and Demand-Side Triggers Impacting Heavy CV Markets

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Feb 24, 2019 12:26:23 PM

In the release of its Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest, ACT Research queries whether the current record-setting Class 8 cycle will close differently than previous peak periods. The report provides monthly analysis on transportation trends, equipment markets, and the economy.

ACTSeminar_60“ACT’s analysis of Class 8 cycles shows that peak build typically lasts between 13 and 15 months. The lone exception being the EPA’07-prebuy driven 2005-2006 cycle, which ran a remarkable 27 months at peak build rates,” said Kenny Vieth, ACT’s President and Senior Analyst. He continued, “Given the exogenous benefits accrued from miles-per-gallon and safety technologies, we have to consider if the conditions are in place for this cycle to run farther than history would suggest.”

Vieth added, “Given slower freight growth, an easing of driver supply constraints, the resumption of the long-run freight productivity trend, and strong Class 8 tractor fleet growth, which are increasingly pressuring rates and by extension trucker profits, our forecast assumes a moderating of the Class 8 cycle into the end of 2019.”

CLICK HERE for more information about ACT’s Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest.

Sam &  Audience at Seminar 59ACT’s 60th seminar is scheduled for March 25-27, 2019, and will feature a trucker/fleet panel, as well as discussions on near-term demand of commercial vehicles and the impacts of emerging technologies on change in the North American commercial vehicle industry.

CLICK HERE for information about the seminar.

Topics: CV Dealer Digest, Press Releases

About ACT Research

We're the leading publisher of industry data, market analysis, and economic forecasting services for the commercial vehicle and transportation industries.

2019 Lawrence R. Klein Award Winner: Most Accurate Economic Forecast 2015-2019

  Partner to LMC Automotive and the Chinese State Information Center

  Contributor to the Blue Chip Financial and Wall Street Journal Consensus Economic Forecast


 

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