Businesses depend on data to make decisions and solve problems. Businesses in the commercial vehicle markets depend on ACT Research for their data needs. When OEMs, suppliers, and investment firms need information on the market, ACT Research is the leading resource in the industry for analysis and data, providing both a future look at the market in the North America Commercial Vehicle Outlook, as well as a current market analysis in the State of the Industry: North American Classes 5-8 report. In the Classes 5-8 report, ACT receives monthly data for Classes 5-8 directly from the OEMs. ACT Research has been collecting this data since 1996, publishing a report and database rich in market indicators of the commercial vehicle markets. Indicators include backlog, build (production), inventory, new order, cancellation, net order, factory shipment and retail sales statistics monthly from all major North American Classes 5-8 vehicle manufacturers. Data cover the U.S., Canadian, Mexican, and export markets. A list of ACT’s commercial motor vehicle definitions can be found below.
Kenny Vieth shared his Class 8 Review presentation at Seminar 61 on August 13th, 2019. While on stage, Kenny took a different approach than normal as he discussed the foundation of ACT's North America Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, establishing why it is the premier report of its kind. Since 1986, ACT Research has been working directly with OEMs as they discretely share their data and information, allowing ACT Research to have an unprecedented level of understanding of the commercial vehicle market. Couple this data with our award-winning economist, robust databases, and years of industry experience and you get a best-in-class outlook for the industry.
Below is an excerpt from Tim Denoyer's Seminar 61 presentation on August 13th, 2019. In his time on stage, Tim discussed the current state of the freight market, including less-than truckload, truckload, and intermodal, as well as an interesting pre-ship theory that seems to still hold as of yesterday's (9.9.19) Freight Forecast release.
Seeing the entire board is important to understanding the game from each angle. That's why ACT Research is so diligent about the production of the U.S. Used Trucks Classes 3-8 report. While ACT's N.A. CV Outlook and State of the Industry: N.A. Classes 5-8 reports break down production and sales, you can't understand the market in it's entirety without knowing what trucks are already on the road. With a database of more than 700,000 transactions dating from 1996, the U.S. Used Truck report covers:
Understanding the current commercial vehicle market is pertinent for so many businesses. For sales projections and budgeting and many more reasons, understanding the current state of the industry is why ACT Research developed it's State of the Industry series, particularly the N.A. Classes 5-8 report.
Preliminary North America Class 8 net order data show the industry booked 10,900 units in August, up nearly 6% from July, but 79% below last August’s best-ever order month. Note that these numbers are preliminary. Complete industry data for August, including final order numbers, will be published by ACT Research in mid-September.
In the release of its Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest, ACT Research noted that the heavy truck and trailer markets, and increasingly the medium duty market, are heading for corrections in 2020, even as the slow growth US economic outlook remains largely unchanged, aside from concerns about trade and tariffs. The key driver of the near to mid-term outlook is the US consumer, who remains well positioned to keep the economy out of the ditch, even as key freight-generating sectors of the economy take a pause.
According to ACT Research’s recently released Transportation Digest, Class 8 market indicators are divergent, with some at all-time highs even as other metrics point to coming weakness. The medium duty market measures are lower in the short-term, but still positive against longer-term comparisons.
On February 4, 2019, Kenny Vieth gave an interview with CNBC's Nightly Business Report. At that time the commercial vehicle trucking industry was coming out of a record setting year, 490,000 heavy duty, class 8 orders. However, questions were being asked about industry capacity and the potential for high backlogs (300,000 at the time of interview) and cancelations coming in later 2019. At the time of this interview, there was a 3-month decline in new truck orders, considered a signal of a potential slowdown.
New US trailer orders of 13.9k were up 22% month-over-month, and after accounting for cancellations, net orders of 10.3k hit their first sequential increase in nine months, rising 64% from June. Year-to-date, however, net trailer orders are 46% below last year, according to this month’s issue of ACT Research’s State of the Industry: U.S. Trailer Report.