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ACT Research: Main Risk to N.A. CV Market Forecasts Remains the Trade War with China; Key Driver of Growth Is US Consumer

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Nov 13, 2019 2:00:00 PM

According to ACT Research’s (ACT) latest release of the North American Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, the primary risk to all vehicle market forecasts, and the US economy broadly, in either direction, remains the trade war with China. With US manufacturers and farmers struggling to compete on the tilted global playing field, the key driver of growth in the mid-term outlook is the US consumer, who remains well positioned to keep the economy out of the ditch.

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Topics: freight, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, Economy, NA CV OUTLOOK, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, demand planning, commercial freight shipping, trailer production, HeavyDuty, Economics, semitruck, heavy duty truck, GDP

ACT Research: Heavy Duty Market Anticipating Accelerating Pullback in Build Rates

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Nov 12, 2019 10:41:36 AM

According to ACT’s latest release of the North American Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, expectations for the Class 8 and trailer markets anticipate an accelerating pullback in build rates, as freight market conditions remain at a low ebb. While less cliff-like, medium duty market indicators continue to support a modest correction into 2020.

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Topics: shipping, Classes 5-8, Economy, NA CV OUTLOOK, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, truck freight, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, intermodal, demand planning, us freight, commercial freight shipping, freight rates, HeavyDuty, Economics, semitruck, heavy duty truck, GDP

ACT Research: NA Medium Duty Demand Slowed, while Class 8 Order Intake Improved in October

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Nov 4, 2019 8:45:00 PM

Preliminary North America Class 8 net order data show the industry booked 22,100 units in October, up 74% from September, while Classes 5-7 orders fell 12% m/m, to 16,400 units. Note that these numbers are preliminary. Complete industry data for October, including final order numbers, will be published by ACT Research in mid-November.

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Topics: freight, logistics, Classes 5-8, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, truck freight, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, trucking, HeavyDuty, heavy duty truck

Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 31, 2019 3:33:46 PM

For more than a decade, ACT Research has gathered used truck sales data from commercial vehicle dealers just like you. We confidentially process this data, building the most robust used truck database in the industry and utilizing the monthly numbers to generate our best-in-class used truck report.

The Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest is a monthly report that analyzes the commercial vehicle heavy-duty production and retail sales. The Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest provides information and insights into For-Hire, Trucking Sector Trends, Publicly Traded Truckload Carriers, Intermodal trends, and more relevant information related to dealers.

With this report, you will receive monthly highlights on the commercial trucking sector trends, including those for publicly-traded truckload carriers, rail/intermodal, new Classes 5, 6, 7, 8 trucks/tractors, used trucks, new trailers. Also includes quick-read graphs and explanatory captions covering the use of truck markets, transportation metrics, economics and energy prices. Additionally, this digest includes a forecast summary and forecast tables for the US and Canadian Classes 5, 6, 7, 8 markets retail sales, as well as US trailer production forecast tables

The types of business that should be interested in the Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest are those businesses that need a quick, high-level overview document for their busy commercial vehicle industry executives. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of the state of the heavy-duty market for sales, budgeting, and other short-term forecasts.

If your business is interested in taking the Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest, we also recommend:

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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, engine

Alternative Fuels Quarterly

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 18, 2019 2:16:46 PM

The landscape of the commercial vehicle space is constantly changing as companies are developing new and cleaner fuel options. There are continuous developments in fuel cell electric vehicles, battery electric vehicles, natural gas and continuously developing alternative fuels. To help those in the commercial vehicle space understand the dynamics of these changes, ACT Research has created the Natural Gas and Alternative Fuels Quarterly. This report covers the price of alternative fuels and natural gas, information related to alternative fuels infrastructure, equipment, retail sales, and other important happenings.

The types of business that should be interested in the ACT Natural Gas and Alternative Fuels Quarterly are those businesses that are involved in the development or adoption of alternative fuels and energy solutions. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of the current state of the alternative fuels landscape, the adaption outlook, and infrastructure development.

With this report, you will receive trends, forecast, analysis, and details about alternative fuel prices, infrastructure, Class 8 NG retail sales (current and forecast), alternative fuel equipment/R&D, and highlights from

ACT’s Quarterly Engine Outlook. Additionally, we share an overview of the past alternative fuel news, special information about alternative fuel developments. This report comes with a spreadsheet linked to regulatory information with details of the current and pending regulations that will impact alt fuel-powered CV demand.

If your business is interested in taking the Natural Gas and Alternative Fuels Quarterly, we also recommend:

Are you in need of this type of information? Click the button below to subscribe. Connect with us today to get an unprecedented level of information to help your business in the future.

SUBSCRIBE TO THE ALTERNATIVE FUELS QUARTERLY

ACT’s 63rd Outlook Seminar is scheduled for August 11-13, 2020, and will feature truck dealer, emerging technology, and economic panels, as well as discussions on near-term demand of North American commercial vehicle markets and the pending impact of electrification on the market in the near future. Click here for seminar information.

ACT Research hosts a series of one-hour webinars focused on the commercial vehicle industry. The first 45 minutes are devoted to a review of the commercial vehicle (CV) industry with emphasis on the economy, trucking trends, and industry statistics that provide insight on the direction of CV production and sales. Short-term forecasts are presented and explained. The remaining 15 minutes of the teleconference are devoted to questions and discussions with participants. All conferences begin at 11:00 a.m. Eastern. Click Here to register for our next Webinar.

ACT Research is recognized as the leading publisher of commercial vehicle truck, trailer, and bus industry data, market analysis and forecasts for the North America and China markets. ACT’s analytical services are used by all major North American truck and trailer manufacturers and their suppliers, as well as banking and investment companies. ACT Research is a contributor to the Blue Chip Economic Indicators and a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel. ACT Research executives have received peer recognition, including election to the Board of Directors of the National Association for Business Economics, appointment as Consulting Economist to the National Private Truck Council, and the Lawrence R. Klein Award for Blue Chip Economic Indicators’ Most Accurate Economic Forecast over a four-year period. ACT Research senior staff members have earned accolades including Chicago Federal Reserve Automotive Outlook Symposium Best Overall Forecast, Wall Street Journal Top Economic Outlook, and USA Today Top 10 Economic Forecasters. More information can be found at www.actresearch.net.


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Topics: Natural Gas, Alternative Fuels, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, engine, cng fuel, lng, cng, commercial vehicle electrification

China Commercial Vehicle Outlook

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 18, 2019 2:03:30 PM

In 2008, a partnership between ACT Research and China's State Information Center was cemented by ACT President Kenny Vieth. This relationship provides information through ACT Research to forecast commercial vehicle demand in China for the benefit of Western companies interested in the Chinese market. If you're a Western company looking for insights into the Chinese commercial vehicle market, there is not another report quite like it. ACT's China Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK is a quarterly report that reviews the macroeconomics of China, as well as deep dive into the transportation environment and industrial policies impact the Chinese commercial vehicle industry.

The types of business that should be interested in the ACT China Commercial Outlook are those businesses that are interested in transportation fuel/energy, manufacturing of alternative fuel for commercial vehicles, or supplying equipment or financing to companies using, considering, or developing alt fuel equipment/commodities/infrastructure as it applies to the China CV market. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of business cycle timing, planning and budgeting. Employment, procurement, and financial modeling.

With this report, you will receive:

  • Macroeconomic analysis – current data and forecasts
  • Transport environment & industrial policies
  • Analysis of current MD and HD truck markets
  • Vehicle forecasts (by quarter for the current year and five-year annual forecast)
  • Competitive landscape

Additionally, a monthly flash is available the last week of each month (except months when full report is published) and includes wholesale data by:

  • OEM and type
  • market share %
  • fuel and type
  • tonnage or length
  • monthly bulk commodity information
  • usage explanation sheet
  • PowerPoint graphs covering:
    • Economics
    • Transport Environment & Investment
    • Market Performance & Short-Term Forecasts
    • Long-Term Forecasts
    • Long-Term Factors
    • Market Competition
    • Market Share Trends

A few complimentary reports to the China Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, we also recommend your business consider:

Are you in need of this type of information? Click the button below to subscribe. Connect with us today to get an unprecedented level of information to help your business in the future.

SUBSCRIBE TO THE CHINA CV OUTLOOK

ACT’s 63rd Outlook Seminar is scheduled for August 11-13, 2020, and will feature truck dealer, emerging technology, and economic panels, as well as discussions on near-term demand of North American commercial vehicle markets and the pending impact of electrification on the market in the near future. Click here for seminar information.

ACT Research hosts a series of one-hour webinars focused on the commercial vehicle industry. The first 45 minutes are devoted to a review of the commercial vehicle (CV) industry with emphasis on the economy, trucking trends, and industry statistics that provide insight on the direction of CV production and sales. Short-term forecasts are presented and explained. The remaining 15 minutes of the teleconference are devoted to questions and discussions with participants. All conferences begin at 11:00 a.m. Eastern. Click Here to register for our next Webinar.

ACT Research is recognized as the leading publisher of commercial vehicle truck, trailer, and bus industry data, market analysis and forecasts for the North America and China markets. ACT’s analytical services are used by all major North American truck and trailer manufacturers and their suppliers, as well as banking and investment companies. ACT Research is a contributor to the Blue Chip Economic Indicators and a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel. ACT Research executives have received peer recognition, including election to the Board of Directors of the National Association for Business Economics, appointment as Consulting Economist to the National Private Truck Council, and the Lawrence R. Klein Award for Blue Chip Economic Indicators’ Most Accurate Economic Forecast over a four-year period. ACT Research senior staff members have earned accolades including Chicago Federal Reserve Automotive Outlook Symposium Best Overall Forecast, Wall Street Journal Top Economic Outlook, and USA Today Top 10 Economic Forecasters. More information can be found at www.actresearch.net.


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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, china heavy truck

N.A. On-Highway Commercial Engine Outlook

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 17, 2019 3:59:42 PM

ACT's N.A. On-Highway Commercial Engine Outlook is a report full of details and insights, in collaboration with our partners at Rhein Associates, breaking down the various engine aspects (displacement, fuel type, truck class, etc.). This report is meant to aid those in the powertrain space of the commercial vehicle markets, allowing a better understanding of the competitive dynamics and shifting trends of the market through the deep level of detail.

The Engine Outlook is a quarterly report on the historical trends, current activity and forecasts of engine demand in on-highway commercial vehicles. The types of businesses that should be interested in the North America On-Highway Commercial Vehicle Engine Outlook are those business manufacturers in the commercial vehicle engine production supply chain, and any company following the investment value of engine OEMs and their suppliers. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of strategic planning for businesses with under-the-hood products impacted by shifts in engine spec’ing as well as financial modeling. Where ACT’s NA CV Outlook monthly report drills down to forecasts by vehicle type, the Engine OUTLOOK take the top-line MD and HD forecasts from the Outlook report and breaks the market down by engine displacement. In addition to a 5-year forecast by engine displacement and captive versus independent market share, the report spends considerable time tracking the pipeline of new engine developments by OEM for medium duty and heavy duty markets and by fuel-type. With a subscription comes access to various support materials via an online report dashboard at actresearch.net including:

  1. PDF of Current Month Report
  2. Tables including:
    1. Heavy Duty Engine Breakdowns w/ Captive, Non Captive, Tractor, Captive Share %
    2. Medium Duty Engine Breakdowns w/ Truck, Bus, RV, Chassis, Class 5
    3. Medium Duty Engine Fuel Type Breakdowns
    4. GHG2 Standards, Fuel Standards, Vocational Standards
    5. Forecast Tables
  3. Graph pack complete with nearly 100 graphs covering:
    1. Class 8
    2. Classes 5-7
    3. Regulatory Environment
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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, engine

North America Classes 5-7 Bus Markets

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 11, 2019 2:23:48 PM

Looking to get a better understanding and distinction between chassis types? ACT's N.A Bus Market Classes 5-7 report is a breakdown of bus market and covers information relative to net orders, backlogs, cancellation rates, year-over-year changes, and other vital market information. The report also disaggregates the North American bus market indicator data based on various types of buses. This report in conjunction the N.A. Classes 5-8 report will help to distinguish truck vs. bus production.

The types of business that should be interested in the ACT State of the Industry N.A. Classes 5-7 Bus Market report include commercial bus manufacturers and suppliers, as well as those investing in the OEMs and the supply chain or companies involved in the movement/logistics of passenger transportation. Municipal and commercial bus lenders and operators are among the customers who benefit from this report.

With this report, you will receive bus market statistics for North America (US, Canada, Export, and Mexico) including details on net orders, build, cancellation, BL/BU ratio, retail sales, and IN/RS ratio as well as:

  • Monthly market indicators for Class 5 and Classes 6-7 bus: backlog, build, inventory, new orders, cancellations, net orders retail sales.
  • Class 5 and Classes 6-7 monthly bus market indicators are further refined based on the type of buses: School Bus, Shuttle/Commercial, and Urban/Other.
  • In addition to a consolidated North American view, the market indicator data are also disaggregated at the U.S. and combined Canada, Mexico, and Export market level.
  • Password protected website access to the current report, historical data (1996 to current), and PowerPoint graph pack.
  • Published about two weeks after the end of the month.
     

Manufacturers use this information and analysis for short-term planning and forecasting, market understanding and awareness, and informing management of the current health of the industry. Investors use this product to create models, assess risk, and support their research. In addition to the market overview, this report provides, municipal and commercial bus lenders and operators to make operational decisions impacting portfolio and fleet size.

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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck

Transportation Digest

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 11, 2019 2:17:07 PM

Understanding the current commercial vehicle market is pertinent for so many businesses, but not everyone has the time to read a lengthy report on the state of the markets. Commercial vehicle and transportation business leaders need information for sales projections, budgeting and additional reasons. That is why ACT Research developed the Transportation Digest, a monthly high-level overview of transportation trends, equipment markets, and the economy as a whole.

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Topics: transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, trucking, heavy duty truck

ACT Research: U.S. Trailer Market

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Sep 20, 2019 11:19:38 AM

Frank Maly gave an update on the U.S. trailer market in a presentation at Seminar 61 on August 13th, 2019. Reviewing the market Frank discussed ACT's trailer database, year-over-year sales (as of the presentation), the impact of 2018 on the current market and much more. The U.S. trailers market is reviewed in more detail in  ACT's State of the Industry: U.S. Trailers report, a monthly look at the current sales, production, and general state of the market. 

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Topics: freight, freight forecast, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain

About ACT Research

We're the leading publisher of industry data, market analysis, and economic forecasting services for the commercial vehicle and transportation industries.

2019 Lawrence R. Klein Award Winner: Most Accurate Economic Forecast 2015-2019

  Partner to LMC Automotive and the Chinese State Information Center

  Contributor to the Blue Chip Financial and Wall Street Journal Consensus Economic Forecast


 

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