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ACT Research: Tough Times Coming in 2020 for Class 8 Market

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Dec 24, 2019 10:05:10 AM

According to ACT Research’s recently released Transportation Digest, carrier profitability and by extension Class 8 demand are heading toward tougher business conditions in 2020. Succumbing to the slowing economy, forward-looking metrics in the medium duty Classes 5-7 markets were awash in a sea of red ink in October, although moderate growth persists in build expectations.

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Topics: freight, transportation, logistics, shipping, Economy, Press Releases, Transportation Digest, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, truck freight, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, demand planning, us freight, last mile delivery, HeavyDuty, Economics, semitruck, heavy duty truck, class8

ACT Research: Medium and Heavy-Duty Markets Expecting Tougher Conditions in 2020

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Dec 18, 2019 7:23:56 PM

According to ACT Research’s (ACT) latest State of the Industry: NA Classes 5-8 Report, the prosperity of the year we are leaving will transition to tougher medium and heavy-duty market conditions in 2020.

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Topics: transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, demand planning, last mile delivery, HeavyDuty, semitruck, heavy duty truck, class8

ACT Research: Preliminary Classes 5-8 Order Intake Failed to Sustain in November

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Dec 3, 2019 9:00:00 PM

Preliminary November data show that Classes 5-8 net order volumes were uniformly soft. Combined NA Classes 5-8 intake fell 15% m/m and 38% y/y in November on a nominal basis. Preliminary North America Class 8 net order data show the industry booked 17,500 units in November, down 20% from October, while Classes 5-7 orders fell 8% m/m, to 15,300 units. Complete industry data for November, including final order numbers, will be published by ACT Research in mid-December.

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Topics: freight, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, Economy, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, truck freight, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, HeavyDuty, semitruck, heavy duty truck, class8

ACT Research For-Hire Trucking Index: Bottoming Process Underway?

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Dec 2, 2019 10:00:00 AM

The latest release of ACT’s For-Hire Trucking Index, with October data, showed a modest Volume Index, at 52.0 (SA). October’s slower growth followed a sharply stronger 59.6 in September. The Pricing Index returned to negative territory in October, at 45.8 (SA), after recovering with volumes in September, at 52.5.

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Topics: freight, freight forecast, freight rate, logistics, shipping, ACT For-Hire Trucking Index, Press Releases, supply chain, truck freight, north american trucking, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, intermodal, truck freight rates, demand planning, us freight, commercial freight shipping, last mile delivery, freight rates

ACT Research: Main Risk to N.A. CV Market Forecasts Remains the Trade War with China; Key Driver of Growth Is US Consumer

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Nov 13, 2019 2:00:00 PM

According to ACT Research’s (ACT) latest release of the North American Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, the primary risk to all vehicle market forecasts, and the US economy broadly, in either direction, remains the trade war with China. With US manufacturers and farmers struggling to compete on the tilted global playing field, the key driver of growth in the mid-term outlook is the US consumer, who remains well positioned to keep the economy out of the ditch.

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Topics: freight, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, Economy, NA CV OUTLOOK, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, demand planning, commercial freight shipping, trailer production, HeavyDuty, Economics, semitruck, heavy duty truck, GDP

ACT Research: Heavy Duty Market Anticipating Accelerating Pullback in Build Rates

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Nov 12, 2019 10:41:36 AM

According to ACT’s latest release of the North American Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, expectations for the Class 8 and trailer markets anticipate an accelerating pullback in build rates, as freight market conditions remain at a low ebb. While less cliff-like, medium duty market indicators continue to support a modest correction into 2020.

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Topics: shipping, Classes 5-8, Economy, NA CV OUTLOOK, Press Releases, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, commercial truck report, supply chain, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, truck freight, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, intermodal, demand planning, us freight, commercial freight shipping, freight rates, HeavyDuty, Economics, semitruck, heavy duty truck, GDP

Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 31, 2019 3:33:46 PM

For more than a decade, ACT Research has gathered used truck sales data from commercial vehicle dealers just like you. We confidentially process this data, building the most robust used truck database in the industry and utilizing the monthly numbers to generate our best-in-class used truck report.

The Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest is a monthly report that analyzes the commercial vehicle heavy-duty production and retail sales. The Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest provides information and insights into For-Hire, Trucking Sector Trends, Publicly Traded Truckload Carriers, Intermodal trends, and more relevant information related to dealers.

With this report, you will receive monthly highlights on the commercial trucking sector trends, including those for publicly-traded truckload carriers, rail/intermodal, new Classes 5, 6, 7, 8 trucks/tractors, used trucks, new trailers. Also includes quick-read graphs and explanatory captions covering the use of truck markets, transportation metrics, economics and energy prices. Additionally, this digest includes a forecast summary and forecast tables for the US and Canadian Classes 5, 6, 7, 8 markets retail sales, as well as US trailer production forecast tables

The types of business that should be interested in the Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest are those businesses that need a quick, high-level overview document for their busy commercial vehicle industry executives. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of the state of the heavy-duty market for sales, budgeting, and other short-term forecasts.

If your business is interested in taking the Commercial Vehicle Dealer Digest, we also recommend:

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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, engine

China Commercial Vehicle Outlook

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 18, 2019 2:03:30 PM

In 2008, a partnership between ACT Research and China's State Information Center was cemented by ACT President Kenny Vieth. This relationship provides information through ACT Research to forecast commercial vehicle demand in China for the benefit of Western companies interested in the Chinese market. If you're a Western company looking for insights into the Chinese commercial vehicle market, there is not another report quite like it. ACT's China Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK is a quarterly report that reviews the macroeconomics of China, as well as deep dive into the transportation environment and industrial policies impact the Chinese commercial vehicle industry.

The types of business that should be interested in the ACT China Commercial Outlook are those businesses that are interested in transportation fuel/energy, manufacturing of alternative fuel for commercial vehicles, or supplying equipment or financing to companies using, considering, or developing alt fuel equipment/commodities/infrastructure as it applies to the China CV market. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of business cycle timing, planning and budgeting. Employment, procurement, and financial modeling.

With this report, you will receive:

  • Macroeconomic analysis – current data and forecasts
  • Transport environment & industrial policies
  • Analysis of current MD and HD truck markets
  • Vehicle forecasts (by quarter for the current year and five-year annual forecast)
  • Competitive landscape

Additionally, a monthly flash is available the last week of each month (except months when full report is published) and includes wholesale data by:

  • OEM and type
  • market share %
  • fuel and type
  • tonnage or length
  • monthly bulk commodity information
  • usage explanation sheet
  • PowerPoint graphs covering:
    • Economics
    • Transport Environment & Investment
    • Market Performance & Short-Term Forecasts
    • Long-Term Forecasts
    • Long-Term Factors
    • Market Competition
    • Market Share Trends

A few complimentary reports to the China Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK, we also recommend your business consider:

Are you in need of this type of information? Click the button below to subscribe. Connect with us today to get an unprecedented level of information to help your business in the future.

SUBSCRIBE TO THE CHINA CV OUTLOOK

ACT’s 63rd Outlook Seminar is scheduled for August 11-13, 2020, and will feature truck dealer, emerging technology, and economic panels, as well as discussions on near-term demand of North American commercial vehicle markets and the pending impact of electrification on the market in the near future. Click here for seminar information.

ACT Research hosts a series of one-hour webinars focused on the commercial vehicle industry. The first 45 minutes are devoted to a review of the commercial vehicle (CV) industry with emphasis on the economy, trucking trends, and industry statistics that provide insight on the direction of CV production and sales. Short-term forecasts are presented and explained. The remaining 15 minutes of the teleconference are devoted to questions and discussions with participants. All conferences begin at 11:00 a.m. Eastern. Click Here to register for our next Webinar.

ACT Research is recognized as the leading publisher of commercial vehicle truck, trailer, and bus industry data, market analysis and forecasts for the North America and China markets. ACT’s analytical services are used by all major North American truck and trailer manufacturers and their suppliers, as well as banking and investment companies. ACT Research is a contributor to the Blue Chip Economic Indicators and a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel. ACT Research executives have received peer recognition, including election to the Board of Directors of the National Association for Business Economics, appointment as Consulting Economist to the National Private Truck Council, and the Lawrence R. Klein Award for Blue Chip Economic Indicators’ Most Accurate Economic Forecast over a four-year period. ACT Research senior staff members have earned accolades including Chicago Federal Reserve Automotive Outlook Symposium Best Overall Forecast, Wall Street Journal Top Economic Outlook, and USA Today Top 10 Economic Forecasters. More information can be found at www.actresearch.net.


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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, china heavy truck

N.A. On-Highway Commercial Engine Outlook

Posted by ACT Research LLC. on Oct 17, 2019 3:59:42 PM

ACT's N.A. On-Highway Commercial Engine Outlook is a report full of details and insights, in collaboration with our partners at Rhein Associates, breaking down the various engine aspects (displacement, fuel type, truck class, etc.). This report is meant to aid those in the powertrain space of the commercial vehicle markets, allowing a better understanding of the competitive dynamics and shifting trends of the market through the deep level of detail.

The Engine Outlook is a quarterly report on the historical trends, current activity and forecasts of engine demand in on-highway commercial vehicles. The types of businesses that should be interested in the North America On-Highway Commercial Vehicle Engine Outlook are those business manufacturers in the commercial vehicle engine production supply chain, and any company following the investment value of engine OEMs and their suppliers. Other businesses are using this report to inform them of strategic planning for businesses with under-the-hood products impacted by shifts in engine spec’ing as well as financial modeling. Where ACT’s NA CV Outlook monthly report drills down to forecasts by vehicle type, the Engine OUTLOOK take the top-line MD and HD forecasts from the Outlook report and breaks the market down by engine displacement. In addition to a 5-year forecast by engine displacement and captive versus independent market share, the report spends considerable time tracking the pipeline of new engine developments by OEM for medium duty and heavy duty markets and by fuel-type. With a subscription comes access to various support materials via an online report dashboard at actresearch.net including:

  1. PDF of Current Month Report
  2. Tables including:
    1. Heavy Duty Engine Breakdowns w/ Captive, Non Captive, Tractor, Captive Share %
    2. Medium Duty Engine Breakdowns w/ Truck, Bus, RV, Chassis, Class 5
    3. Medium Duty Engine Fuel Type Breakdowns
    4. GHG2 Standards, Fuel Standards, Vocational Standards
    5. Forecast Tables
  3. Graph pack complete with nearly 100 graphs covering:
    1. Class 8
    2. Classes 5-7
    3. Regulatory Environment
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Topics: freight, freight rate, transportation, logistics, shipping, Classes 5-8, class 5-8 trucks, class 8 trucks, medium duty truck, commercial vehicle sales data, truck market, north american trucking, class 8 truck, american truck and trailer, commercial truck and trailer, transportation industry news, trucking, heavy duty truck, engine

ACT Research: U.S. Trailer Preliminary Net Orders Surged 75% M/M in September, but Were Off 68% Y/Y and Down 54% YTD

Posted by Jennifer McNealy on Oct 16, 2019 1:30:00 PM

ACT’s preliminary estimate for September indicated that trailer manufacturers booked 18.5k net orders to their orderboards last month, a 75% surge from August’s subdued net order volume. Volume was 68% below a year ago, while year-to-date, net orders are 54% less than last year. Before accounting for cancellations, new orders were 21.4k, up 45% from August and 64% below last year. Final volume will be available later this month. This preliminary market estimate should be within +/- 3% of the final order tally.

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Topics: freight, transportation, logistics, shipping, Trailers, Press Releases, truck market, transportation industry news, trucking, commercial trailer, us trailer, trailer production, semitruck

About ACT Research

We're the leading publisher of industry data, market analysis, and economic forecasting services for the commercial vehicle and transportation industries.

2019 Lawrence R. Klein Award Winner: Most Accurate Economic Forecast 2015-2019

  Partner to LMC Automotive and the Chinese State Information Center

  Contributor to the Blue Chip Financial and Wall Street Journal Consensus Economic Forecast


 

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